On October 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from China starting November 1 (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115351840469973590). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 100% tariff rate or higher on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time by November 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% tariff on all imports into the United States from China is in effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
New tariffs will begin in 2026
Trump enacts 100% China tariff November 1.
Nothing ever happens
ggs
Everyone, there is a wretched thief who, every few hours, posts comments here, under various nicknames, about a priv. market. This is a serial phishing scam that takes you to a fake website, takes your login information for Polymarket, and within a minute empties your entire wallet. Don't fall for it, and every time you encounter these messages, report and respond immediately that it is a scam and theft, to prevent others from falling for the trap. Let's stop this guy.
Saying smth like "wow so much spread with the priv. markets" ? Got it, thanks.
Trump's 100% China tariff hits Nov 1, sparking stock plunge and trade war fears.
Where are you from?
they decline trading deal - 100% tarifs will go. Come on
easy
yup
very soon yes
Fellow yes can i see y'all 😂😂
test
No tariffs in my opinion
Tariff, no tariff, tariff, no tariff
When do you think Bitcoin will understand?
I am in france and i can't buy ( i am from france ) they this an icon saying "Unavaible" to buy "Yes" but to buy "No" awkward is possible !!!
jewish manipulation as always
France has more Moslems tho. Def Moslem manipulation
You're not allowed to trade here if you're living in France
1 in 10 chance that the meeting doesn't go well is a risk thats worth taking imo
You gotta understand the repercussions of what 100% tariffs mean to china, they manufacture almost everything you can think of, tariffs on china means everything will get more expensive in America and China would rather do business with countries who's leader isn't making dramatic announcements every month and immediately backing out
YES
free money lol
Lol let’s see
We’ll see very soon lol
U about to be worse off losing this
Think so too
50-50
13-87
9-91
Life could be a dream.
good manipolation... u are donald trump junior?
wassup read the news