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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$638,837 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$639K Vol.4%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
AAA bond
Can somebody look up that bet that says Tintin is actually Jesus Christ before 2027? I think it was at about 14%.
This is the real Jesus returns market.
i mean if it happens i will have bigger problems to worry about
If there is a magnitude 10.0 earthquake, the earth will be so wrecked that you won’t even be able to claim your gains
Magnitude 10 are technically not possible. They would yield breakup of the planet. So it this bet just to store money?
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist is better
DUMFUQ GOOPfan risking a fortune to earn a a thousand dollars, what a STUPID INNUMERATE this dumbass GOOPfan is! No wonder he I DOWN TENS of THOUSANDS on THIS WEEK ALREADY! HA HA HA, GOOPfan is the RETARD of SEVERSK!
What does Zilivanili know??
Zilivanili just bought so many no shares I actually had to double check an earth ending quake didn’t just occur
same I was actually worried for a second lol
*so many yes shares
Not even a 0.1% chance... caveat is you have to wait almost 400 days to get your money
But yeah, probably not. Scientists say the physics just don't allow a tectonic quake that big. We're maxed out around a high 9. Maybe if an asteroid hits, but that's a whole other disaster movie.
Lizzo is going on tour in March 2026
lol
strongest ever earthquake was 9.5 in 1960
10.0 is basically not possible with the faults that exist, maybe if a giant meteor hit us.
I'm scared JLLEE91 is gonna cause an earthquake himself