This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
I was gonna get so rich off of this wtf :(
Retards lost again? Whoa
How is it possible to close this bet before data was published by NASA ?
It was published like an hour and 14 minutes ago, 11AM ET
130 was a lock GGS to all the tards.
LFG YALL ARE DUMB
gg fellow degens, it was a good ride 🫡
:(
In a surprise to no one, the final is 130. Congrats and condolences to all, and see you in the next market.
Impressive. And congrats
Thanks!
I think it will, but only 87% confident there cause it's more narrow than this one
I also have a few Y shares there
oh no
wow that's soooooo shocking!
June 121 July 121 August *** BUY NO.
again spamming jaja
Ok... we got your point, you have something against aenews2. Could you please stop spamming?
LA NINAAAAAA
what time NASA go to publish?
Google it
[link removed].gov/gistemp/release_[link removed] today at 11am EDT
No is cheap here, good luck degens!
[link removed]
Published a few days ago, and the data has been around, so not breaking news. But still interesting.
Notable that, according to the ERA5 dataset "August 2024 was the joint-warmest August globally (together with August 2023), with an average ERA5 surface air temperature of 16.82°C, 0.71°C above the 1991-2020 average for August. "
Implies hottest in GISTEMP
There's no liquidity unless you bet against aenews, and the dude doesn't miss... and the month he was against the majority, i was with the majority,, this suckksss,, hope another august comes soon... saying this in the comments lowers the odds of this happening, but fuck it
he has the liquidity plus a following base that makes these markets resolved before you even start looking at the data
98.8??! what a ridiculous odds
No is going to win.
Why is no 1%?
According to the available data, the average GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 was 20.91°C, which is the second-highest value on record for the month, with only a 0.07°C difference from August 2023.
This account has been spamming and faking, don't trust. If this were real, you'd have even the slightest bit of proof to show.
That's Real Data.
DATA JUST LEAKED: IT'S A TIE!
What’s your favourite anime?
No seems underpriced and feel like throwing few dollars on No. But holding myself because I see profitable big whales sitting on YES. I trust them more than myself.
I hope they are wrong 😬
All the best... Wish u make money on this.
No is absolutely underpriced here. The data is muddy enough that it's pretty clear that no isn't a 1% chance. The whales are selling off their positions incrementally to try to not spook the market, just check the activity tab.
There's no mud. It'll likely be hotter in every single database. Won't be remotely close in GISTEMP. Last month was divided, and actually very close.
You should have sold for profit when you had the chance. There will be little to no increase in temperature. It's a Tie.
Where are you getting your information? The anomaly is roughly 130.
You did not parse the data correctly. I'm getting 119 every time.
Post picture with Imgur, definitely don't believe that
Looks like the pump is finally over
If you mean El Nino is finally over you are correct. [link removed]
El Nino has been over for 3-4 months, not really relevant
Ya and what come after is LA NINA !!!!
We are in ENSO Neutral, not La Nina. And the incoming La Nina is a weak La Nina. I don't understand if you are just trolling or this retarded.