This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
worm as fuck
A dollar won't hurt. :)
In Iraq they have 51 Celsius
let's see
ven if the data doesn’t break records, the narrative probably will. Betting against the headline, not just the heat.
Just glancing at the dataset for the last 20 years, it seems like the raw chances are 1:4 and maybe 1:8 given May/June were a little cooler.
It will be and even if it is not, it will be manipulated to be, will serve the agenda
It won't be but they will lie and say it is.
likelyhood of this based on ai: Grok: 55% DeepSeek: ~67% ChatGPT: ~50% just saying
I would not use LLMs to analyze this. Just open the data and take a look. [link removed].gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/[link removed]+[link removed]