PoliticsMarkets
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep43%
R Senate, D House35%
Republicans Sweep18%
D Senate, R House2%
$7,683,281 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrats Sweep$2M Vol.43%
R Senate, D House$1M Vol.35%
Republicans Sweep$2M Vol.18%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
when this market is over
Quién ganará??
👽
Yeah...
Why would Dem sweep drop when they are winning Ohio by 8 pts?
Because they're not, you're watching partisan polls
But Fabrizio is accurate lol
One of the polls is off. There are polls with Brown up big but the governor race is a dead heat.
Okok
Why is the market end date November 3? Isn't it entirely possible the result won't be fully determined by midnight?
End dates are fake numbers only used for search indexing, rules dropdown is what counts
Republicans will control the senat seat because of voter id.. democrate have no id which mean the republican voter can go to democrate area to vote republican. Democrate cant go to Republicans seat because the voter id.. democrate was build on house of card. It will collapse
Dumbest comment I've ever read
Yes it is dumb thats why the democrat can retain their seat for 30years plus just by arranging the voter goes to other states and have the bad policy and still win..
If the democrat can use this tactics to win why the republican cant use it.. plus if the republican win they can imposed the voter id and democrat will never win again unless they give the best policy backnto the people back.
most literate conservative
New - Senate poll - Texas 🔵 Talarico 45% 🔴 Paxton 38% PPP #B (🔵) - LV - 5/26 MAGA is donezo and Trump is historically unpopular. Dems flip both houses and Trump becomes lame duck president. It's over.
bet MONEY!!!!! come on man...
Thượng viện D, Hạ viện R
jlj
how one can think it will be anything but a GOP sweep.... surprises me. Is polymarket full of democrats?
I see you chose to advertise your mental retardation publicly. Trump is universally hated. Look at his approvals and combine that with the fact that the party in power loses seats in the midterms and then see a head doctor.
At it's current price, Republican sweep is a good value.
BET or SHUT UP.
There are five possible scenarios. Trump and Co figures out how to cancel elections Trump and Co rigs elections to insure republicans win Trump and Co decide they won't allow elections results to be certified Elections are allowed to happen and Republicans actually win Elections happen, results are close enough that some races get dragged into court for weeks or months, some certifications get delayed, some seats get challenged when Congress convenes in January 2027
yes ,i am yes
How can "Other" be obtained? Republicans do something for elections not to happen?
Third party takes hold of house or senate
yea, it's basically a bet on the elections not being able to be finished properly
That's my bet... I don't trust the Administration...
"This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections." Best bet? Elections cancelled/invalidated. There being a less than a 1% chance of Trump sending ICE to the ballots to stop the count because "it's rigged" is severely underrated, in my opinion. I expect the "Other" to rise in value nearing the due date (Nov 3), as Trump does what he always does lol.
i trust the cat in business
yep, there's like 1% chance of the elections actually being cancelled, but like 95% chance that he will try something and this goes up in value
can anyone time me plz
MIGA kicking out Massie from the party should basically lock this one up. The GOP is basically done as a party in the next two years for a generation and they have no one to blame but themselves, and I'm here for it.
LOL. Massie was a RINO and MAGA is stronger than ever.
Dang!! If only there was a way to make money on your prediction......would be easy money!
Says the guy with $28k riding on the GOP holding the house and Senate.
shi I got motion
toke both side, and earn 4%
get the brooms out we are going to need a sweep
good luck!
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep · Yes
Amount
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