This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 3,100,000 for any date between November 23, 2025, and November 30, 2025 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. Any revisions published to data for dates November 23, 2025, and onward, prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range, will be considered. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the dates from November 23, 2025, to November 30, 2025, by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
it barely got past 3.1mil. jesus...
gg wp. see you on the next market
BREAKING NEWS: Yesterday, TSA screened about 3,133,924 individuals, the highest number ever in TSA's history
@tsa on x
Why has the price moved? I'm not seeing anything new on the TSA website
Wtf is happening
Check @TSA on twitter
This is resolved. We are just waiting to TSA official report.
so its not resolved
Is it resolved now?
Gg man
Free money
Not too late to get out
See i warned you
Jesus what happened? TSA site isn’t updated for me and still shows 27th as most recent date
To reach 3.1million, everything needs run at 100% capacity. With 8 inches of snow in chicago and storms
971 cancellations yesterday. Damn…
Just bet both sides
may god bless both sides. this is a tight race but I doubt it will happen since the canceled flights today
IMO most likely is easily yes, I priced it at 70-%ish before the storm. But I can’t be bothered to think about how much the storm will impact it today.
645 cancellations so far as of 6:30PM EST. 1,860 cancellations yesterday, but its uncertain how many will spillover into today’s capacity. I don’t think it will be many, these planes are likely already at max capacity.
wont happen
the projection is at 3m
plus 5-10% because of yesterday canceled or delayed flights
minus the snow flights around newyork today because of snow
Surprise surprise, people wanna fly back to home after holidays. 😅
Rooting for you bro
This epic weather setup made this nearly sure bet. 😅
Over 1k flights from yesterday postponed into most busy day in history.
Postponed??? Cancelled!!!
Yeah so TSA travelers are postponed 😂
Thanksgiving Sunday is about to be absolute hell at U.S. airports. Today (Saturday), the Midwest storm is already delaying hundreds of flights, a classic domino effect that will spill straight into Sunday. This is not flip at all. IMO 70% for YES is accurate.
well you've convinced me.
first