On May 23, 2025, President Donald Trump announced via Truth Social a 50% tariff on all imports from the European Union (EU) set to take effect on June 1. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 50% general tariff on imports from the European Union into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between May 23, 2025, and June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 50% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff greater than 50% will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Only the 50% general EU tariff will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel, olive oil) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
If this market goes No https://polymarket.com/event/us-eu-trade-deal-before-june-849 should go Yes given the clarification on tariff delays counting as deals.
Trump is so random, there doesnt need to be a deal on the table even for tariffs to be lifted, pause or removed.
So that was the buy signal
Goddammit, did the orange monkey folded again?....
he's taking a break from so much winning
im a bit surprised they haven't jfk'd this clown yet. there has to be a lot of unhappy people by now, a lot more than back then.
I dint even get filled at 75 cents fully lmao
Tbh a lot can happen this week
I made $70 on this shit in a single day. Easy money
[link removed]
why 95?
Car keeps winning
EU and US will be friends together against Russia
would von der Leyen say this if Trump threatened a 50% tariff over the phone? [link removed]
Trump did it to China. You think he won’t do it to EU, which is “nastier” according to his remarks?
Trump found out what happened when he did that. Stock market crashed, 70% of Americans turned against him, his rich friends got mad, and even worse yields are going up. Oh and also European Commission President von der Leyen just announced she "had a good call with trump". Good luck!
Trump said "I am recommending"
I’m not looking for any deal right now. And you think he will fold?
crazy they giving out dollars for 35 cents these days. Good times
Loser hahaha
Not as big in terms of return, but money on the ground regardless.
what makes you say that
if he put tariffs that increased the price of pretty much every consumer item by 1.5x im sure he can do it to eu that only produces cars
guys there's 6 days left. this should be at 80 min
this should increase every day that there is no deal
theres no way they would have a deal that fast unless trump gives up with his demands
*TRUMP: I'M NOT LOOKING FOR A DEAL, IT'S SET AT 50%
Holy hell, are we giving a Trump "recommendation" a 36% chance of happening?
free money
Lol, what makes you think this is free money
I don't think it's free mo9ney
twas a lie
i just dont think this is trading at fair value
Trump reiterated it during the EO call, and car is offloading his no to you, so i think it is trading at fair value, lol
I am the one who offloads
also you should dump your ishiba position, homie is on the ropes
Thank you, it is just a hedge position with the other trade, got them both cheap