This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, current leader of the Yemeni Houthis, is removed from power for any length of time between Sepember 1, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Abdul-Malik will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Abdul-Malik will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) within this market's timeframe. Can't be prevented from fulflling duties as leader of the RSF, as he isn't a leader of the RSF.
He’s too secure and operates deep underground. Plus, the Houthi movement is built around his family structure. Removing him doesn't end the movement; it just creates a new martyr. It won't happen.