This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending August 2024 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 2.5 percent over the 12 month period ending August 2024 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS August 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ---- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if inflation over the 12 month period ending in August before seasonal adjustment is 2.6%, this market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 2.5%, this market will resolve to “No”).
gg wp
this call is very easy. before the announce the prev. is 2,5% FREE MONEY
The rapist 1776 was pretty spot on here
The predicted is 2,5%
The US Consumer Price Index is forecast to rise 2.6% YoY in August, at a softer pace than July’s 2.9% increase. Source: [link removed]
2.5% final
i Think Yess
Annual CPI on average runs 0.4 percentage points above PCE. Final read on year over year (y/y) PCE was 2.5%. Therefore August CPI could be expected to be (on average) 2.9%. A detailed explanation can be found under [link removed]
Retard
Going to be close but i still lean it will be 2.6 or above no way it drops down to 2.5 or below
Yes is a bargain at 43 cents!
Market manipulation complete, glad someone bought my shares
Current fednow estimate is 2.59%. 14 of the last 19 months the actual cpi was under the fednow estimate, with an average miss of -0.075. Each of the last 4 months missed lower. I’d say under 2.5% should be a slight favorite
My number is 2.494