Another Canada election called by June 30?

You can make money in politics by betting the opposite of KamalaHairy

Gg

Polls look fantastic for Liberals but Carney will likely bet on using the by-elections to reach majority (safe seats + tossup Terrebonne). The polling momentum should help in the by-elections and it's a safer choice than gambling with early election which comes with the risk of voter fatigue & backlash

Need to front run before sentiment change

What did I say ? Lol

Seems plausible now, Terrebonne's seat has been vacated by the SCC

Lol. The Libs could only lose 1 seat, so how does it make this more likely?

What do you mean that they could only lose 1 seat?

They either lose a seat or end up even. Nothing that would make them call an election tbh

Will it be better in 6 months? Or when opposition decide to call it?

Le pari fini dans 3 mois. Il est la lprob hehe

Cest ca mon point, en sachant qu'il y aura tot ou tard une election, que les sondages sont bons actuellement, que PP n'a pas un bon leadership, que le npd est temporairement mort, cest actuellement un bon temps pour declancher une election generale. Mais bon, je n'y crois pas absolument, mais juste que la possibilite est plus eleve que 15-20%.

Je dis actuellement, mais plus en avril apres le congres national du PLC

Je t'entends! Fine analyse. Bonne chance et bons trades bro

The calling of the by-election today proves you right. Congrats!

We talk about this a few episodes ago. Carney is looking to secure a majority while he can. [link removed]

X'D

round 2

i trust you

I'm gonna be right this year guys. No shares are risky

nah lmao

Maybe next year!

People will still vote liberal LMAO

Can anyone give me a good reason for this?

There is absolutely none. I bought some at 80 and still tought it was a good deal

Liberals wanting to go to for a majority while they are hot and before Lewis can make a name for himself and steal back some of the NDP vote. The Bloc would happily play along.

And before the economy tanks.

https://polymarket.com/event/canada-recession-before-2027

There is an argument for what PMP says, but the polls dont tell that story. The libs have had a very small polling advantage in the past few months. Thats not enough to go back to the ballot box. And Canadians would punish anyone sending them back to the ballot for no good reasons. If the libs were like +15, that would be another story, in my opinion.

carney does not like to work with other parties

Wrong assumption

he literally said no today....

Oh well that seals it then.

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You sold? 😅

if you win its because I sold, i just made it possible for it to hit. no election can happen when im betting on it, so I put it all on sports and its gone now. im cursed but its ok

Buy my orders if you have balls

Here he goes again...

Do people really believe that a majority government will be stolen by bribing floor crossers?? Either people are extremely smart and know more than I do or this is a good bet.. given all the circumstances I’d say that there could be an election called once Christia Freeland resigns as an MP, of course, that is if the liberals don’t steal a majority illegally

im an ingenious indian guys and my bot has been liquided if u can help me i have some test to do tonight