On May 10, India and Pakistan announced a ceasefire (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/05/10/world/pakistan-india-kashmir), however continued hostilities have been reported (see: https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/1921228906230628691) This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 10, 12:00 PM and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announced agreement by both India and Pakistan to reinstate the previous agreed upon May 10th ceasefire deal will qualify. If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required. Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.
Mfkers said I'll dispute and nobody did nice
😭😭
ggs guys, you won, i lost, game is game. lost my entire pnl on this because of my stupidity and overconfidence. I accept defeat, thank you all for being part of this journey on polymarket, I will probably be quitting after this one
i don't understand , how did the No guys lose?
Bro, don't be sad, hold the balloons 🎈🎈🎈
It's okay man, honestly can't be feeling more down than this, but atleast i learnt that risk management is important. But yeah no funds to continue on polymarket so i will be quitting for good, maybe return after a few months or years?? idk but hey GG and goodluck for your journey here!
Kudos for having guts to go all in bro. Just be more open minded
you just have to win hyuuuge now, it will be too much winning!
I'm genuinely just sorry for that :/
When did india and pakistan announce another ceasefire? I think this should be a straightaway NO
thonker will dispute
Anyone gonna dispute?
No bros, chill. Both parties confirmed the ceasefire and ordered to cease any hostilities. It's over.
Can you link the post/document where both India and Pak accept breaking the first ceasefire and another one where they announce a second ceasefire??
Link where they agree on the previous ceasefire again? Both Pakistan and India need to announce another ceasefire btw
Would be great if someone can link the tweet/document of Pakistan and India accepting that first ceasefire was broken and announcing a second ceasefire.
Where is India announcing ceasefire?? PM Modi didn't make new announcement. He just explained to Indian public about the previous ceasefire being a "mere pause"
@Parz1va Do you have discord?
Feel free to dispute me
Not really, but once you learn it, it gets easy
Ceasefire agreement was in english and Pakistani dont know how to read
The tweet from Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs on May 11 just says they’re committed to the ceasefire “announced earlier today,” meaning the original May 10 agreement. It doesn’t mention anything about reinstating or continuing the ceasefire after violations, nor does it reference any new agreement or the outcome of the May 12 DGMO talks. This doesn’t meet the market’s requirement for a fresh, overlapping announcement from both sides.
Sure will
This does NOT fulfill the criteria to resolve the Polymarket bet to "Yes", and here’s why: --- Why It Doesn’t Qualify (Based on Market Rules): 1. Only One-Sided Statement (Indian Army): The Polymarket criteria require public statements from both India and Pakistan. A statement from only India is not sufficient. 2. No Explicit Use of the Word "Ceasefire": The statement talks about "not firing a single shot" and "no aggressive action," which implies a ceasefire. But the market clearly says it requires explicit public statements that both countries are "ceasing military action." 3. No Confirmation from Pakistan Yet: Unless Pakistan also makes a similar or joint statement by May 16, 11:59 PM ET, this will not trigger a "Yes" outcome. --- What to Watch For: A matching or joint statement from Pakistan's military or foreign ministry in the next few hours/days explicitly agreeing to halt military action. Use of clear language such as “ceasefire,” “mutual cessation of hostilities,” or “resumption of agreed ceasefire.” --- Summary: Current status: Not enough for "Yes". If Pakistan also issues an explicit public statement, then it can still resolve to Yes before the deadline. Otherwise, it stays a No. Would you like me to monitor for a Pakistani statement?
Both India and Pakistan have agreed to commit to the ceasefire. Good luck.
The tweet from Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs on May 11 just says they’re committed to the ceasefire “announced earlier today,” meaning the original May 10 agreement. It doesn’t mention anything about reinstating or continuing the ceasefire after violations, nor does it reference any new agreement or the outcome of the May 12 DGMO talks. This doesn’t meet the market’s requirement for a fresh, overlapping announcement from both sides.
The market is dropping, and it’s likely to fall further. Pakistan hasn’t tweeted anything about reinstating or continuing the ceasefire. Their May 11 post only referenced the original May 10 agreement, not a new or renewed ceasefire, which fails to meet the market’s requirement for fresh, overlapping announcements from both sides. This is clearly heading toward a “No” resolution. Sell while you are in the profit lol
The market is already over, waiting on a proposal
Not over.
Pls dispute if they propose yes
Still waiting on a proposal, this is Y
can someone send me more position for 9, i got 5$ i need to feed my family
Pakis sent a surveillance drone which was shot down. [link removed]
No you didn't. Why It Doesn’t Qualify (Based on Market Rules): 1. Only One-Sided Statement (Indian Army): The Polymarket criteria require public statements from both India and Pakistan. A statement from only India is not sufficient. 2. No Explicit Use of the Word "Ceasefire": The statement talks about "not firing a single shot" and "no aggressive action," which implies a ceasefire. But the market clearly says it requires explicit public statements that both countries are "ceasing military action." 3. No Confirmation from Pakistan Yet: Unless Pakistan also makes a similar or joint statement by May 16, 11:59 PM ET, this will not trigger a "Yes" outcome.
A matching or joint statement from Pakistan's military or foreign ministry in the next few hours/days explicitly agreeing to halt military action. Use of clear language such as “ceasefire,” “mutual cessation of hostilities,” or “resumption of agreed ceasefire.”
I think its a no
i bought at 9 and sold at 18 i want more at 9
Pakistan back at it again
[link removed]
Pakistan attacked with drones again