This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 25, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
We still have a few more hours. (being sarcastic)
😂
Nothing happened :)
Iran will not attack in 2024
Says the holder of 4 no shares
there are 4 dsys left!!!!
Iranians seem to be unhappy with the deal proposed in Doha. Could be an interesting flip here
What are you guys doing quacking around with the price? There's a 7.5 cent spread on the yes order book!
Yes ofc
Tensions are rapidly increasing, crazy how cheap yes is
Yemen increasing their attacks. they are testing jewish AD for the imminent strike
Hmm... interesting thought
😂😂😂 This is so much fun to check every morning "How much money have I lost today?"
Learn from me and buy yes when it's cheap
lol
Now after israel attacked the Huties, there might be a revenge from iran
Now that a ceasefire is coming up, Iran has NO reason to attack at all
Hehe haha Car doesn't know the master plan.
may be 2025
Nothing like watching money vaporize into thin air. 😂
nothing ever happens...
Iran isn't waiting around on Israel to attack their nuclear projects first. No, iran will attack first, as soon as they notice any kind of pending incoming attack coming from Israel.
Even if Israel attacks Iran again, It takes more than two weeks for Iran to respond:))
If Israel attacks Iran again, the Iran answer will be immediate, this time.
Not if there isn’t anything left to attack back with :)
I try not not underestimate anyone
Well, we've got 20 days left. 😂😂😂 Easy come easy go.
[link removed]
Iranian Foreign Ministry: 'We strongly condemn the Israeli attacks on Syrian infrastructure and the occupation of some parts of the Syrian Golan Heights. Regardless of who is in charge in Syria, any type of Zionist aggression must be resolutely condemned.'
Iran will strike Israel in the coming days to demonstrate strength after fall of Syria.
Israeli aggression in Syria will trigger Iran's response... IRGC sources say a show of strength is now more important than ever.
true, but they need to build a nuclear bomb first.
With Trump incoming? Not a chance. If they did, it would be the end of the Iranian regime.
it will happen before turmp takes office but its just gamble if it happens in december. lets see. maybe a golan front was planned and now the plans will be revised. we shall see.
That's just what I've been thinking. Well, it's money we can lose, right?
i guess . no one besides us seems to be beliving in this! good luck!
Khamenei to make a speach on Wednesday about recent regional developements. Should give an indication as to whether "yes" has legs here.