PoliticsMarkets
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 3123%
January 31<1%
January 17<1%
March 31<1%
$2,545,835 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
December 31$505K Vol.23%
1%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Cuba and Iran is priority for US now. There is like 2% chance that USA strikes Venezuela
Venezuela acting president Delcy Rodriguez said Sunday she has had enough of Washington orders, as she works to unite the country after the US capture of its former leader Nicolas Maduro - [link removed]
You obviously dont know anything about Venezuelan politics
I am just sharing news relevant for this question.
wen
nowy
strike loading
When
idk
[link removed]
here we go boys: [link removed]
"Venezuela has the highest Travel Advisory level - Level 4: Do Not Travel - due to severe risks to Americans, including wrongful detention, torture in detention, terrorism, kidnapping, arbitrary enforcement of local laws, crime, civil unrest, and poor health infrastructure."
BREAKING : Colectivos cartel have emerged, and US will launch airstrikes to strike them.
Trump an idiot for sending people there without destroying the regime first. Next call of duty "malandros" edition soon bois
You can stop after the first 3 words
new strikes coming to cartels in venzuela
This just happened: [link removed] However, NEVER trust a Chavista.
Flights to Puerto Rico being cancelled left and right
🙋 Technically it’s not a strike unless Polymarket adds a clarification, so as of yet it’s all null and void
Can someone pin this
U.S. pressure over Venezuelan oil and Chinese influence will likely escalate into a limited military action framed as a stabilization or security operation. Look to The Guardian article. If my notes are useful, even a dollar helps cover the data I use for these updates.
Why should they strike again
Define “Strike”
Maduro’s already caught. No reason for the US to go back in. Congress won’t approve.
Peace no crazy war
No crazy gwar
battle royale
false alarm
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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