PoliticsMarkets

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$141,992 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Yes$142K Vol.

RulesMarket Context

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Holders

HopeDisLastsPapermarket27d ago

What if some countries are captured by Putin? Would it count like they have withdrawn?

Str3sUPapermarket143d ago

You realize that a referendum is needed, which cannot be organized in a month or in a sufficiently short time, right? But even if the referendum passes, it will take 1/2 years until it is implemented? I forgot that you in America don't have anything like that, you just do everything TRUMP says.

deherminatorPapermarket137d ago

You realize that you're buying a market with less returns than US Treasuries with more risk right?

Poli.carpoPapermarket104d ago

Without taxes though

DEGENKHANPapermarket294 No87d ago

US MONGOLIANS UNDERSTAND

archaicPapermarket2K No152d ago

After the US takes over Greenland, Iceland is likely to explore the idea of joining as a US state too.

MlovagPapermarket43d ago

this is completely false. I'm living in Iceland and nobody talks about this :D

SonmerfieldPapermarket158d ago

Did anyone see the December polling? 25% of Poles now want to start the procedure to leave. That’s the highest since we joined in 2004! The farmers are furious about the Green Deal and the new migration pact is a total lightning rod.