This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Imagine being a dictator for 20 years just to end up playing online games 12 hours a day in a Moscow skyscraper. He’s the ultimate "retired" villain. No way he risks leaving and getting "Gaddafi'd
When assad dies, what happens to this bet?
let's suppose there are uncofirmed rumors that he died in Russia and then there is an evidence that his body is shipped to Syria for the burial. What the resolution will be?
You would not hear about it. If he died in Russia they would sneak him into Syria to be buried. Won’t find out years later what happened.
Oooo…. Suicide. How interesting!!! Suicide by Fsb? Did he also fall from a 30 story building hahaha
The question is where is the body? Did he go back to Syria?
This says leave Russia for any length of time. He could jump over to Belarus or China for a day and this resolves "Yes".
Assad will never leave Russia.