PoliticsMarkets
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
September 3023%
June 303%
June 223%
June 151%
$4,603,469 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
September 30$250K Vol.23%
2%
June 30$851K Vol.3%
1%
June 22$68K Vol.RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 , including both the chart and downloadable files.
No meeting in Europe anytime soon says one of the Iranian delegates
Guys June 15 can not resolve YES, 70 ships already passed
They should add dates for July tbh
admins are fucking wack
“From the Strait of Hormuz to Bab al-Mandab, and from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea, a new security belt of the resistance will be formed,” IRGC Quds Force commander Esmail Qaani said in a message on Monday.
Grok: only a small handful (likely 2–5, or under 5% of the total) [of ships the Houthis attacked in 2023 and 2024] had clear, direct Israeli ownership, operation, or flag connections. The overwhelming majority of ships attacked by the Houthis had no actual Israeli links at all.
Jun 8, 2026 (Bloomberg) –The Houthis, an Iran-backed militant group that controls much of Yemen, declared a ban on Israeli ships in the Red Sea, threatening a key bypass route to the Strait of Hormuz. “We declare a complete and total ban on Israeli maritime navigation,” the group said Monday in a statement. “We consider all enemy movements to be legitimate military targets for our armed forces.”
From 2023: Yemen's Houthi movement said on Saturday they would target all ships heading to Israel, regardless of their nationality, and warned all international shipping companies against dealing with Israeli ports. The Iran-aligned group is escalating the risks of a regional conflict amid a brutal war between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas.
but does that bring the total to less than 10?
Likely American allies too
i sold bc now iran said they are calling off strikes. no idea wtf is going on.
The houthis are delusional
JUST IN Iran says it has fully closed Bab al-Mandab Strait, following Israeli strikes. 12% of world trade passes through it.
😂
houthis announce a ban on maritime navigation on israel and israeli affiliated ships
yemen fired missiles at israel. bab el-mandeb closure is close.
150 dollars oil incoming
yep
You've got to pump it up Don't you know, pump it up You've got to pump it up Don't you know pump it up
Trending at /Poly_trending
give us more timeline
Can we possibly get an EOY date?
rt ^
do we resolve it?
Astrology says it closes
looks like astrology has cost you 1000$
"Reports that a regional source says the US expects Iran to close the Bab el-Mandeb strait" If the strait closes I will eat a shoe live on stream
where do i watch your streams?
or am i supposed to know that, are you a famous streamer?
I am not a famous streamer XD
I can gift you a pair of nike air max, get ready to chew on em
I'm not stupid, it would be a leather shoe
hey buddy
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
September 30 · Yes
Amount
$
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