Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

I understand using media and family tweets for resolution, but this highlights a bigger issue: we need clear rules that are consistently respected. If the rules can be bent or reinterpreted, then what's the point? Every single detail, every outcome, every aspect should be held to the same standard. Otherwise, trust in the platform gets shaky fast. Consistency is what keeps this community strong.

DO NOT REDEEM YOUR SHARES. THE RULES WERE AS CLEAR AS DAYLIGHT

UMA has been overruled ? What purpose has UMA if all they do is wrong

Good Job on the clarification PM team. You guys need to write more and more about this to not let loud-mouth grifters like Car grif, lie and scam their way into profit. You guys just need to be more consistent in writing clarification so that we all know what to expect.

That's exactly what we fight for mate.

So we are scammers because we read and understand the rules?

Honest question, what would happen if a month from now it's revealed from Justin that it's actually a penguin? At some point a scenario exactly like this is going to happen.

What mansion are you buying with that whole dollar

then it resolves to penguin

Unbelievable. So now 'credible reporting' and a tweet from Hailey's dad are enough to break the rules? This just shows that even with clear guidelines, Polymarket will bend them whenever it suits them. This isn’t about following rules—it's about making the outcome fit the narrative. How are we supposed to trust the system if they keep moving the goalposts?

I'm interested

Crazy how they start the clarification with Media and a consensus to resolve the market while both of these things are not resolution sources for the market. And lets not forget about them removing "official" from representative. lol

if someone proposes it again, im disputing.

I think your idea is even crazier. Imagine by the end of the year, this market resolves as 50-50, even though we’ve seen Hailey and Justin Bieber’s son and the media has reported it. Yet, this market still considers there’s a 50% chance the child is a girl. At that point, everyone will think Polymarket is an utterly ridiculous platform.

You tried to profit by subverting the truth, and failed. Sucks to suck

Please dispute, let's fight for our far gone justice

Ask your mom for 1$ to make a bet first , and then have a public opinion

You are just a low life grifter. Ain't no way you are putting actual money at risk with another dispute when you know your aren't gonna get your grift thru

This ridiculous market is finally coming to an end. Who could possibly propose the idea that Jack might be a girl and that his family is lying, and how could it have passed unanimously? It’s absurd that those who guessed correctly are losing money, while those who guessed wrong are benefiting.

Sexist clarification. Jack is yet to announce their gender when they come of age

What happened?

u lost

welp

Gender is not defined. Can change it later on, therefore girl

But what if it identifies as a horsecat ?

I get why people think family members should count as official representatives, but the rules specify that only Hailey, Justin, or a designated representative can confirm it. If we start bending that rule, it creates inconsistency and opens the door to ambiguity in future markets. While it's unlikely the family is intentionally trolling, stranger things have happened with public figures. Celebrities sometimes play with media narratives or keep things private for their own reasons. That's why we need to stick to official announcements to avoid speculation or misinterpretation.

I think some people are just angry because of the whole RFK thing but now suddenly in this bet somehow the rules must be followed to the letter.

One screw-up doesn’t mean we should keep making the same mistake. This is our chance to finally get it right and enforce the rules as they’re written. Better to set a new standard now than let things keep sliding.

So this isn’t just a simple matter of guessing the gender; the real gamble is whether they will make an official statement within the next four months saying that Jack is a boy. Otherwise, even if you guessed correctly, you could still lose money.

Yep, the real gamble is waiting for an official statement. Even if everyone assumes Jack is a boy, she could still be a girl. Without official confirmation, nothing is guaranteed, so it’s all about following the rules to make sure the market is fair.

I couldnt care less mate lol

Pm proved it doesn't follow its own rules

Quick question, in betting markets like these, what would stop the Bieber family to insider trade? Sure the market is not that liquid and it's not that much cash, but still lol

insider trading is a feature not a bug. hope that helps

They would drop hints it's a boy while they would buy girl shares

What is the hold up

How dare they assign the child a gender! (JUST KIDDING, this is normal).

When I told my friend that I won money betting on the gender of Justin Bieber's child, he said, "You're amazing! You guessed he would have a boy." I replied, "No, I bet on a girl—and that was after he announced his child's name is Jack." Ridiculous Polymarket.

If this situation continues until the end of the year, the market will resolve at 50-50, even if their family confirms it or reporters capture photos showing their child is a boy. It’s absurd.

if we are going to keepdoing this at least please buy some NO shares higher guys

Jack could, of course, be a girl, but when Justin Bieber says ‘son,’ I could also say that might be a nickname for his daughter. He could be teasing everyone, which means this issue could never be resolved.

If their family can’t be considered official representatives, then who can? It’s truly ironic.