The IPCA (t. Broad National Consumer Price Index) is the official inflation rate measure used by the Brazilian government, tracked by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). The IPCA reflects the cost of living for households across urban areas in Brazil, measuring changes in prices for a diverse set of goods and services. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 12-month IPCA for December 2025 is below 5.50%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to IBGE's (https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/indicators#ipca) public release of 12 month IPCA figure for December 2025, expected in January 2026. If the publication of this figure is delayed beyond February 28, 2026 ET, this market will resolve according to the last published figure. Because this market's resolution source reports inflation over 12 month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.56%), this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Create for monthly inflation rate too pls
Resolve this pls
Pena que so conheci essa aposta agora. Apostar contra os incels ancaps bolsonaristas eh sempre gain. Inflacao ja dava sinais de baixa ha tempos
Don't trust in IBGE. The institute is ruled by a fucking commie. Next year we will have elections here in Brazil, they will realease fake numbers.
Mi mi mi mi
mr trump make brazil statistics real !!
Yeah of course, the fake inflation index (aka IPCA) could be bellow 5.5%, but the real one is way above that (Brazilian here)
Brasileiro mentiroso quer dizer
Vai mamar o Haddad e companhia em outro canto
If I can say something, as a brazilian, there's literally NO WAY they can keep the IPCA under 5.5%. And I'm not talking about inflation, since IPCA is a messed up index that the governors manipulate trying to put some make-up on inflation (Eggs are pricier now, they adjust the IPCA "product selection" so eggs will have a smaller share in this index. It's 100% bullshit.)
No way!!! Everything you’re saying is nonsense. I work at IBGE and I guarantee you, we work seriously to ensure the official inflation index. Go to the supermarket, use the weights from our inflation basket, and calculate it yourself. Idiot.
M2 grew 10-12% since 2018 (12% Jan 2025), while IPCA’s only 4.62% (2023), 4.83% (2024), 5.53% (Apr 2025). Not saying all IBGE's workers are trash, but you can't disagree that there is a HUGE bad influence of the institute on basket tweaks to downplay real inflation. Check the data before calling someone an idiot :)
totally agree
Lula e hadad neles!!!!!!
A aposta eh sobre IPCA e nao sobre os dados q voce retira da bunda
Nao precisa xingar o cidadao. Ele pegou as informacoes de uma fonte muito precisa. O cu dele