This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the People's Republic of China and Vietnam between April 16, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the People's Republic of China and Vietnam as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the People's Republic of China and/or Vietnam, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Who is disputing the truth again?
This is the ACFTA agreement signed previously. Expected the new release soon. [link removed]
China and ASEAN deal explicitly states the involved of China and Vietnam: [link removed]
During Chinese President Xi Jinping's state visit to Vietnam on April 14 2025, the two countries signed 45 cooperation agreements. The agreements are part of broader efforts by both nations to strengthen economic ties amid escalating trade tensions with the United States. Given the current trajectory of China-Vietnam relations and the mutual interest in countering external economic pressures, it is more than plausible that discussions toward a more formal trade agreement could accelerate.