This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial COVID-19 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Isn't the document they refer to here enough? [link removed]
right. Not sure what "a consensus of credible reporting will also be used." means
what he mentioned is who said it, and consensus is how we know they said it
Even if it's the truth, he won't admit it
what's going on here?
Nothing official, just bums from a republican committee. Gov will confirm it, but only when trump is officially President, in 2025.
yo im ngl this shekel guy talks a LOT
probbly over exposed
COVID
Also looking at top 1's profit/loss makes me more and more sure in "yes" win
Anyways, it'll be very clear, when the day is over
[link removed] the thing people are talking about is this. It only states lab leak is most likely. there is no definitive say of lab leak, and pretty much unlikely since it is the gov we are talking about, they just dont do definitives
actually, it's governmental structure, also "most likely" should be enough, because it's 99% sureness, while it's impossible to approve anything with 100% sureness
yeah, that is exactly what i am betting on, read the rule, it says definitively
I don't get the point of buying "no" now, can anybody explain what is tha basis of their hope?
My only idea is that this is an attempt to drive up the price of the "no" option to get out more profitably
bought no for 60c, sold for 80c in just 10 minutes
yeah, market manipulation
prove me wrong
35c spread is crazy
It's not resolved yet, because it's only 5 AM ET
All requirements are met, so it should definitely be "yes"
Eazy money, white house published documents Dec. 2
such a crazy bet
not in our lifetime
Trump, as President just elected, confirmed it was a Wuhan leak. Isn't this enough? 👀 [link removed] (time: 1:30)
Trump doesn't become president until Jan 20th 2025
The evidence chain is not complete and cannot be confirmed
Wait... 2 independent committees/investigations have said this is most likely 2 years ago: US energy department & the FBI, if I'm not mistaken.
Dude, wait, Trump said this many times. I guess he's only "president elect" until January? He'll definitely say it at some point. The Biden regime, nah of course not.