The market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Deadpool & Wolverine' (2024) grosses more than $600,000,000 domestically by September 2, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6263850/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through September 2 (inclusive). Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. If the data is not available on the resolution source by September 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.
Ok N crew, I have a juicy block for you to sell your worthless shares at 0.1c
The current values for the holiday weekend are estimates. Look at imdb and the color around those dates. Blue = estimate. Obviously it can't be resolved until the final data is in. Right?
What the sigma
why did it get disputed? doesn’t the website say 600m domestic
Who wanted their money disputing
When do we propose resolution?
Not now
did you propose 😐
Most likely
No, too scared of losing 750$ 🥲
Thanks for playing
Ty for the free percent
let's see tomorrow
hopefuly it will do more than $500,000!
sorry, $512k
1% compounded daily is 270% a year. Take the free bonds :D
Oh yea my bad
I think the market is significantly overvaluing 'yes'. All the articles so far have just estimated the domestic gross. Or said it hit 600M based on some estimate. The numbers aren't out yet and there is a very small margin over 600m.
Friday and Saturday estimates are already confirmed. Sunday estimate has a margin of error of less than 1%. Just need ~$1M on Labor Day to cross $600M
there is virtually no chance of not reaching 600m. The estimates released sum up to 603.8m and they are usually off by just a couple thousand
Blah blah blah
it already hit wagmi
free money
yep. How do they already have today's revenue tho
Current numbers are estimates, the real numbers come out on monday
Maybe it's cooked bro! But yeah they are ests.
599.X without Labor Day ^^
Might be 600M today too
Deadpool & Wolverine is the biggest headline of the four-day weekend as it stays No. 1 in its sixth outing and crosses $600 million domestically, becoming only the 16th film in history to do so, not adjusted for inflation.14 hours ago
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its sure to pass 600 mill but hasnt yet. Probablly will on labour day but might not.
will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through September 2 (inclusive).
Wait for the result
I put a position for yes. I have 2500 I can't yet add. So my position is very small.
I asked Chat GPT and it said it would be yes, with like 99% chance. I took the previous 3 movies of the past 3 labor days and it guessed it would be between 604m and 610m. I used data from the site being used. Also I check local theatres and it shows Deadpool and Wolverine is still the top movie in all theatres
Damn all this nerd talk and 0 shares
buy some shares
I can't transfer my crypto yet so I started with 3.59. Also I don't really want my money locked up as I like trading the spreads
Wow you drive the car (if you live in US the site with blacklist you)
uh oh spaghettios. Still trending toward no
sure it is man
bet more
It will all depend on monday.
No it wont
it will. Trend is it wont make it to 600 million if it were a normal week. But this monday is a holiday so could see increased revenue compared to a typical monday.
It’s not a normal weekend though. It will be at like 599 by Sunday
They would have to decrease the gross change week over week by a lot compared to the trend to get there. If it was a normal monday they would have to be at only -23% week over week change, which is way lower than the trend. But its not a normal monday, which is why im say it will depend on monday. Otherwise i dont know why this weekend wouldnt follow the trend.
If they don't break 6 million today it's over. If they do I'll accept defeat.