This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek R model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
July is so far away. It will be released.
aged badly
It's the easiest no-brainer i have seen. Deepseek hasn't released a new model in what ages now. It was leaked internally that they will launch R2 in starting of may and from other sources too, even if it gets delayed by like a month we still have 2 months for it
“ Summary Predicted Date: April 30, 2025 Why: An accelerated timeline, DeepSeek’s history of frequent releases, social media rumors, prediction market trends, and practical timing all point to late April, with April 30 being the most likely specific date. Exact Predicted Date: April 30, 2025 This prediction reflects the best estimate given the current data, though it remains subject to change if DeepSeek provides an official announcement.” I don’t buy the story