This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek R model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
DeepSeek officially clarified that R2 release is fake news.
took a while for the market to correct after the fake rumors
my friend work in deepseek,you have no chance to win for yes holders
You don't have a chance to leave, there's no liquidity, and it will soon return to zero. There are still more than ten days left
Cigarettes,Don't struggle in vain, time will be exhausted and return to zero. Countdown 24 days
There is no chance to leave, either make a big profit of 100% or return to zero, because of low liquidity, everyone should be mentally prepared
Don't understand why this is trading at 3x the price of the Deepseek V4 market when V3 came out before R1. https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-before-may/deepseek-v4-released-before-may?tid=1743625873210
Due to technical issues, R1 needs to be re optimized, and the release time of R2 will be significantly extended to improve vulnerabilities
Time is running out, with just over 30 days left until the deadline.
Time is running out, nothing has happened, it will soon reach 50-50, this is my opinion. I have ideas to exchange and make progress together. My friend works in China
R2 will only be released in July 2025, which is almost a high probability event. The probability of release before May is less than 10%, which is the first market pricing error. Reuters' article is not familiar with China, and the earlier their views are expected to be released, the later they delay the expected release time, which will lead Deepseek to be questioned by users. This is a common tactic used by American media
Don't believe Reuters' tricks
According to debugging personnel, technical validation (such as phantom rate control) and supply chain adaptation (Huawei Ascend chip integration) may affect the final release time, and R2 may not be released until the second half of the year
I made 2 Grok 3 Beta AI’s with DeepSearch discuss about the release and they said as a lot of AI Models are out rapidly like gpt 4.5 o3 mini claude 3.7 etc so it will be released in April 11th 2025.
You made my brain bleed
SOURCES: DEEPSEEK IS SPEEDING UP THE RELEASE OF ITS R2 AI MODEL, WHICH WAS ORIGINALLY SLATED FOR MAY, BUT THE COMPANY IS NOW WORKING TO LAUNCH IT SOONER.
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