This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
DeepSeek V3 is the base for DeepSeek R2, which is trading at 50-60ct. DeepSeek V3 came out 1 month before R1 did. Everyone is really excited for R2, but V4 may well be released before it.
The V4 model is about to be released, there is news
im not touching that
"The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3." the R1 was clearly position as the successor to Deepseek V3 and it already came out.
R1 is just V3 with reasoning. Before the R series they had a reasoning model based off V2. R2 should be based off V3.
pretty retarded how this entirely hinges on how deepseek decides to name their models, latest one isn't even in the "V" series
"Deepseek 2025/25/02" new comment from Liang Wenfeng on X
wht if they name it R2? these rules are retarded.
Market name: "released before April?". Market rules: "by April 30". I charitably assume this is a translation error or something. In English, "Before April" means "Before April 1", and *never* means "Before April 30*.