This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between June 2, and June 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. Resolver
Cool
Admittedly, It’s not looking promising
Why did you put that much on yes
mother earth lock in
anytime it would just take 1 second to go 100%
This plot should just be steady, linear time decay.
Still believe in the rational market fairy tale?
normally its suicide to bet against @gopfan2
Let the world he safe and earthquake below 6,, as seismic activity is calming down
I give it 12 days
Forcast say,, sesimic activity to slow down as month progresses
Yes, I agree. The short term forecast shows highs in the low 6’s. But the longer term forecast for July is now calling for highs and in the upper 8’s and possibly low 9’s. But you know what they say, the earthquake forecast is just as reliable forecasting the weather.
I think below 7 is the norm for this june
0 chance for that big
Yes, zero chance. This should be in the 15-20% range for yes
Where is the analyst guy