PoliticsMarkets

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

$3,100 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Yes$3K Vol.

RulesMarket Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.

Holders

SurferOfDreamsPapermarket972 No55d ago

So apparently Todd said before Fallout 4 that it wasn't near release, when in fact it turned out to be less than a year left (and he recently framed it similarly now with TES6). If one wants to take a high-risk bet one could go for reveal at xbox game show & actual release in 2026. I think it seems unlikely, they would want to build hype longer/marketing.