On June 30, Elon Musk tweeted "If this insane spending bill passes, the America Party will be formed the next day" (see: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1939806847504105683). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party within 24 hours of the next reconciliation bill being passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. In order to qualify, the same reconciliation bill must be passed by both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. Passage of different reconciliation bills by each chamber will not suffice. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Oh look, elon lying again also grass is still green.
He still formed the party but bro just cannot make it on time
over
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once this is resolved, you still have time to bet on the july 4th.
I see elon posting at 23h59mins
when is deadline?
in 6 hours ig
Jul 03, 2025, 02:31 PM | 119th Congress, 1st Session
Then why this prediction not done?
He just posted another poll. Independence day you see...
So it should resolved tomorrow
What was the exact time when the bill passed?
Don't know the exact time, but around 2:30 PM ET
Never bet against Elon
Not here
The bill passed today
Does this mean this market should resolve by tomorrow?
Once Elon try to stand party,Tesla share will down,surely
or up
People has so much faith on Elon. Unbelievable!
The most entertaining outcome is the most likely to happen - Elon Musk
kartveli tu xar damamatet diskordze deltachildyo27
Ain't gonna happen )))
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Shares of renewable energy companies are rising after a tax on solar and wind was removed from the Senate version of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
Don't waste your money here. Polymarket is a scam with whales that resolve any market to any result they want. Sell your positions and cash out while you can.
you're just salty you didnt get your 10x return trying to bet that it was a suit
LMAO you bet on the losing side of every single controversial market, you are trying to make quick buck
The mineral deal market was a pure scam, no controversy
i agree but i truly believe that is a rarity, what he's complaining about is vague rules that he doesnt agree with after betting on it
It wasn't an intentional scam, it's just the UMA system isn't perfect always. They've since improved it so that doesn't happen.
*tries to scam people* *gets scammed*
Well, I hope Elon keep his promise, given politicians will screw the country again, without any doubt. Go Elon!