PoliticsMarkets
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$1,404 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$1K Vol.12%
1%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Came here thinking omg France only 20%? To then see the any nation bet hahaha
The EU isn't just one country; it’s backed by the combined power of the entire bloc's budget. Moody's just reaffirmed the Aaa Stable rating in October 2025 because they know the 'joint and several' support is legally ironclad.