This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This feels like free money, but is it worth an 11% return over 2 months?
What do you mean with "peacekeeping"? the bet should be "does nato puts boots in ukrainian ground", officially...
Can someone explain the “no” position, why should there be peace with Ukraine in the EU but no EU soldiers in Ukraine?
eu afraid of conflicting with ru even if all ukraine will be erased believe me
First of all, there won't be peace this year. Second, no European forces want to risk direct war with Russia.
Any peace agreement will inevitably require peacekeeping forces from Western countries, at least in western Ukraine. Therefore, if you believe peace is possible in 2025, this presents a significantly higher potential return on a win.
No it doesn't. Demilitarization means no hostile militaries. All Western countries are hostile to Russia. This will never happen.
What about camp Casey then, where do u even get this idea from
From the Russians themselves who have stated for many years what their objectives are, and the root causes of the conflict that must be discussed before a peace agreement is possible. A DMZ with EU/NATO peacekeeping force is unacceptable. This latest push for a peace agreement has no chance of succeeding. Russia is not interested in a frozen conflict and letting Ukraine build up another military of 600k, while having their territory occupied by NATO forces.
Germany supplies Taurus, which is difficult to use without peacekeeping force.
Even pro UA Keith Kellogg proposed a division of Ukraine
A “deterrence force” will operate in Ukraine with several countries. It will cover sea, air and land areas and will be part of a wider package of security measures, Macron said. Britain will lead the initiative. Deterrence forces are not a unanimous decision, but we do not need unanimity to implement them. From next week, our diplomatic advisers will monitor the implementation of the decisions taken today, the French president added.
This is possible for Hungary, Romania, Slovakia and Poland, their peacekeeping forces will occupy the border areas, Putin will not allow this for other countries
"Peace keeping"
lol
hjn hbn