A special election for Florida's 6th Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve to "Weil" if Democrat Joshua Weil wins the congressional election in Florida's 6th Congressional District. This market will resolve to "Fine" if Republican Randy Fine wins the congressional election in Florida's 6th Congressional District. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
45K votes in, Weil in the lead 53% to 46% [link removed]
EZ
Easy money 💰
I misclicked
its over
Sorry to hear that.
even if I lose all bets today, my PNL will still be way better than yours lol
Elon Musk is using Starlink, Fine can't lose anymore
I'm not a yankee, I thought this market having some doubt was due to this district containing Jacksonville suburbs but it actually doesn't lol [link removed]
Waltz got 67% in 2024. No way there's going to be a 17 point swing to the Democrat, especially in Florida with its strong election integrity laws
what do election integrity laws have to do with the expected outcome?
the usual implication that any election the GOP loses is rigged
No, but all elections that are rigged favour the Democrats for some reason.
Uhhh are you forgetting about the rigged 2024 US election which republicans won?
There's voter fraud all over the place, Trump managed to win despite it.I'm interested to know how you think the 2024 election was rigged and if the 2020 election was rigged in the same way?
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Anyone Yes on Weil should probably take their earnings and get out. Theta gonna theta from here on out.
I warned ya.
I don't think you understand how the platform works from a technical perspective, but OK
I think I understand. My point is folks want to believe, but since polling is showing Weil is not in a great place, I expect this to slowly degrade in price over time. If I were you, I'd get out asap.
Which poll are you referring to? lol... The GOP funded poll showed Weil in the lead
You never even placed a bet, and then you spread misinformation. What are you even doing here?
Huh, I had not seen this internal GOP poll before. Maybe you are right? [link removed]
exactomundo, mi amigo
belive in sth
Come on, feel the noise
How about you feed me? All you can ask for at 93c
I'm just making a comment, you're the one begging for fills so yeah I'm just gonna arb you.
Isn't my #2 category of wins US elections? And US politics in general? If I bet a lot on a thing I will lose a lot or win a lot! Just have to stay net positive overall
Also a lot of background research you are doing intbetween your panhandling. I bought a bet thats probably going to lose at ~7c, just clear the book and make your amazing gains.
i mean wdy want? its obviously dead now. i said its a bet thats probably going to lose last time
also sounds like you should have taken my advice and cleared the book out instead of being scared of being arbed? lost out on a bunch of money!
believe in something
I believe you are going to be able to make some money here with that position.