On February 4, Donald Trump floated a plan for the reconstruction of Gaza including the relocation of Gaza’s population (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-netanyahu-set-pivotal-talks-middle-east-agenda-2025-02-04/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 500,000 Gazans leave the Gaza strip between February 6, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes the transfer of Gazans to Israel, the West Bank or other countries, as well as the departure of Gazans from the Gaza Strip through visa or refugee programs. This market refers to the total number of Gazans who leave, regardless of method. Announcements of relocation plans will not count, only actual relocation will qualify. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
The moment that they will have to change to leave, they will.
will happen, but might happen in 2026
Trump has said he plans for Gaza relocation and sending them to new homes built by US. The only question is whether that will happen in 2025
He big lies, Palestinian people are love their country.. end occupation now
if they are sent to heaven does it count?
You mean hell
thank you my love
"Consensus of credible reporting" post-Suitgate this market has too many uncertainties.
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The suit which may or may not have been a suit was determined by UMA to not be a suit in a previous market with less coverage and as UMA must vote consistently, it was pretty obvious that it would be resolved as not a suit
The rules of that market were not is the suit pretty or did uma think it's a suit at some other time, they were "does the press call it a suit?" And Google clearly shows there was media consensus.
Jews building moral concentration camps for Palestinians and bomb them, i guess its cheaper than gas
Its a win win for all. Gaza is a terrorist enclave with a brainwashed population that values death over life and doesn't seek peace or even know anything about co-existence so everyone would do better with a little space from each other.
You are brainwashed, do you know Jews came as refugees to Palestine and Palestinian are welcomed them, then later, Jews started stealing the Lands and killing the people who welcomed them, when Jews fled and get out from Europe.. end occupation now
finally a market to bet on ethnic cleansing
As part of the new Gaza administration deal and expanded Abraham accords they're gonna resettle most if not all Gazans to neighboring countries. Israel wants to annex and develop it
Yes of course. And just like DJT said build a Las Vegas there :D
Neighboring countries: nahhh
Neighboring countries: nahhh
Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Syria are all pawns of the US, they'll do what is needed if the US makes the agreement
nobody will accept Gazans(Even Arab countries), they made a lot problems in the past.
You are dreaming..Palestinian will keep fight till end occupation and have freedom to have their country back..
I’ll be back, just need some liquidity
Ok papi
this is kinda hapening already
Israel Seeks to Clear Much of Northern Gaza, Warning of New Military Operation As more Gazans fled their homes in the north, international demands grew louder for Israel to allow an urgent and massive injection of aid to stave off famine in the territory.
Israel is a terrorist state.
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August/September
I came back
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Denizz on losin rampage
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It’s a great find but man is that cursed
Yeah...
Its unfortunate that I have to buy YES shares, but $20 is $20
Why unfortunate? Gazans arent native from gaza, they went there by migrations in the last 200 years. They just kill and impose the rule of terror. They must go and hamas should too
Have you done ur dna test? How come u know that u are “native” excuse me but 300 years ago the states was not even a county, and now u suck Trums pipi, ouchhhh
they arent native because almost of all of them are refugees, they went there after the islamic conquest, migrating every now and then such as in the ibrahim pasha revolt. Im not american. One is native to a land in 2 ways: genetically and culturally, gazans are neither, jews are. Palestinians never had an identity towards a land called palestine until the jews started rebuilding israel. They pray towards mecca, speak arabic( a non native language of the colonizers). Jews speak the ancient language of the area, pray towards jerusalem, had a whole identity based on being from israel for 2000 years. The fact some people are mixed and lost their identity doesnt mean all have.
Modern day Jews are mostly European, genetically. Palestinians aren't 100% Arabic, they rather are descendants from the various peoples that have inhabited that region throughout the ages. They definitely qualify as native while jews were in that place for only a portion of their history and have remained nomads for the better part of it
Modern day jews have complex ancestry from various peoples from the regions they inhabited. They remain traceable to a common ancestry but they certainly can't be called natives of much of anywhere. Even when they migrated to modern day Israel, there were already plenty of people living in that region from which Palestinians descend
Why is it unfortunate? The palestians have no historical connection to any land in the Levant area. In fact they aren’t even the real Palestinians- that would be the Jews living in Palestine before 1948. Palestine was never a country and never had self determination since 70CE. They have threatened Peaceful communities in Israel over 25,000 rockets fired at Jewish, Muslim and Christian communities in Israel. Move them to a country far away and let them make a way for themselves like everyone else in the world has had to do.
Egypt willing to temporarily relocate half a million Gazans to Sinai report [link removed]
How would the market resolve if let's say 500,000 Gazans don't exist by Dec 31, 2025 (i.e. through war, bombs, starvation etc).
they have plenty of food, not gonna happen. Bombs? Israel bombs very accurately and tries not to harm civilians.
you're not right in the head
I know the lies of islamist and progressive propaganda, you dont
Bruh the leading case of infant death globally is Israeli bombs on the Palestinian people. They're employing starvation as a weapon of war and genocide. Blockades not letting food in for 3 months now.
sure buddy every major Human Rights Organisation is just Islamist. Hey why dont we take a look at this [link removed].org/wiki/Israeli_war_crimes