PoliticsMarkets
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$83,606 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Yes$84K Vol.3%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
are prediction markets still extremely inefficient or am I extremely dumb
Yes.
we should just short google bro
Guys they're already A/B testing Gemini 4.0 [link removed]
Was spotted in Antigravity [link removed]
Odds are ridiculously high, there's no chance this happens. 3.0 is not even out of preview yet and there were 10 months between 2.0 and 3.0
Crazy we got a Gemini 4.0 market before a Gemini 3.5 market
if u read the rules this is gemini 4.0 and a 4.0 flash market
I know that. It's surprising though that we got a market for 4.0 before 3.5 given that Google does releases in 0.5 increments
Did you buy yes for funsies
A hedge, probably won't pay out but 6 months is a long time