This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confidence vote is held in the German Bundestag between November 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as a confidence vote occurs, the process of which is outlined in Article 68 of the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
this is the cheapest lottery ticket ever. Paying 100 to 1 on something that hasn't happened yet kek
😂😂😂
Out of your mind
this is happening tomorrow, how come people are selling?
People sometimes just need liquidity elsewhere
first it should have held on 11th now on 16th and in the end they will do it first week of january 😄 you will see
Scholz raus...sicherste Wette ever!!!!
[link removed]
It aint happen hehe dont ask me why :)
He can sign as much as he wants; no vote happend by now and I bet my ass it will be delayed and it will happen in january 😄
wette ich dagegen, mit allem was ich habe...Leider ist mein Geld nicht angekommen und ich kann nicht mitwetten!!
Is there a market on the result of the confidence vote?
yes, olaf to stay in 2024
no, even if he loses the confidence vote he will still be chancellor until a new one is elected by the Bundestag after the election.
It is so quiet about the vote of confidence, there must be something behind it 🤙🏻
thought the same. But maybe because everyone is so certain it will happen :')
i aint thinking that. Olaf wants to stay, the AfD would gather too much influence
It aint happen hehe dont ask me why :)
It's going to be December y'all: [link removed]
Easy money
are you retarded?
if they to it before jan. the afd comes to power, absolut no way they wil let that happen. so a clear no.
tell me you have nooooooooooooooooooooooooooo idea of german politics without saying it :DDDDDDD
only cause the mainstream media shows that the Votes are trash for AFD does not mean that they are a mirror of the truth. AFD is stronger then everyone thinks. I just recap a statistik: Harris win 72% / Trump win 23%. Thats what the mainstream media showed to the public. So never trust them, NEVER
it will happen in january
Rolandoo you drunk?
I'm hoping for incredible German bureaucracy and human error, and that this will somehow be rescheduled and this market will resolve to "No". :)
brother same.
Congrats on this, seriously.. Now we will always have election campaigns during Christmas every 4 years.
There is no Christmas in February
You would have that regardless of the confidence vote...
campaigns start like at least 3 months prior to an election
16.12...
I believe it happens on 16/18 Dec. once it's done. A "yes" outcome seems still pretty unlikely to me as Scholz has a plan......
Yes thought the same. Now it seems bad but he might turn things around. He still the chancellor.
😂😂😂😂😂
Why are you laughing bro? I am tripping :D
I told y'all 3 days ago
The mad men did it. Merz really stole Germany's christmas.
Date for confidence vote fixed on Dec 18th. [link removed]
CDU and SPD agreed on new elections for 23rd February and the confidence vote on 16th December. GG
source?
[link removed]
And Handelsblatt
Dec 18th. [link removed]
Thank you! How did you guys know? I was so convinced that Olaf would be prosponing it. Was it a gut feeling? :D Damn
I guess the public pressure and social dynamics where to strong for Scholz
dont worry im sure he will find a way to delay it. he just wants them to shut up about it for now.