TechMarkets
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 3195%
June 3089%
June 2355%
June 154%
$890,129 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
July 31$192K Vol.95%
1%
June 30$114K Vol.89%
7%
June 23$3K Vol.RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
People ! if they release 6 not 5.6 it wont qualify. so if they jump it to 6 this will fail. Be careful frens.
Your worng. Read the rules.
He is right, read the rules and it the third sentence if you need direction.
So if OpenAI releases any model that progresses it irrespective of name counts. 15th June is a no-brainer.
I have no doubts about the release per se, but I wonder how you guys are so sure about the name though. Except single leak.
they dont have to be sure about the name " GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
That is clear, but thank you for the answer. I might be mistaken, and I do not seriously expect to win this one, but still seems like to get some intermediary specific model or the next-gen (major) release is more than 3% in such turbulent domain. But that's me. Not profi.
not 3, but, say... 6-7 )) that is why I do not seriously consider winning, but for portfolio ok.
"Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify."
Now confirmed to be 5.6
where ?
what awaits
No on June 15th and June 30th undervalued
they will release this month. Short June 15, Long June 30
AI is developing at an incredible speed. I can't even imagine what awaits us in 5-10 years.
really seems like my GPT 5.5 on codex is much stronger today. maybe release tomorrow or this week.
[link removed]
hello