Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Hoy se anunció la noticia que Gustavo Petro fue destituido temporalmente por participación en politica

Please add July 31st

Ruben Rocha precedent

Both this and Ruben Rocha were temporary measures. The difference is Rocha was granted a leave of absence and Petro is suspended.

But, in the end, maybe it is unconstitucional measure. No go

yeah, but who knows, maybe Petro wants this and even if it is one day he does not work, it qualifies

Worth a shot I suppose

Hey bro, can you help us resolving some markets/events please? Thank you very much in advance.

It wont allow us to resolve it, and we have been waiting a lot of days. 🙏🙌

1. Paloma Valencia Vote Share.

#2. Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round Vote Share.

3. Abelardo De La Espriella Vote Share.

All of them are of the 1st round. Sorry for the separated/duplicated messages, but my browser is bug or something similar.

Thank you very much in advance. Or if you could tell someone, even in X, since you know a lot of people in this business, specifically interested in Colombian elections. I would really appreciate that. Blessings 🫡🫡

Bet context — Petro leaving via normal electoral transition The bet excerpt states that the market resolves "Yes" if Petro is removed, dismissed, or permanently prevented from fulfilling his duties within the market's timeframe. The core issue: a normal electoral transition does not resolve "Yes" in this type of market. Why? Petro is constitutionally barred from seeking a consecutive second term. (Wikipedia) Therefore, the president is elected for a non-renewable four-year term — and it falls to the electorate to choose a successor. (Wikipedia) This means that when Petro leaves office in August 2026 following the elections, he will be doing exactly what the Constitution prescribes: completing his term and transferring power to the elected successor. This situation does not meet the "Yes" resolution conditions of the market, which require: Forcible removal from office Impeachment Permanent prevention from fulfilling duties A peaceful transfer of power following elections is the opposite of that — it is the normal completion of a term, not a removal.

ChatGPT would lose so much money on Polymarket. Honestly that's probably who I'm making all my money from tbh

If chatpt is wrong the contract doesnt make sense: its result is just Yes. It does not make sense. Lets see

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

thanks I finally get why you keep buying

May 30th election. August 7 inauguration...

Petro cannot be re-elected, so leaving office in 2026 is a mandatory, scheduled end of term. So not being “removed from power.” “Removed” implies an extraordinary, premature loss of office.

nigga can't read a dictionary

We need clarification if the election counts or not.

If he loses the election in May (or June run off) but is still in power as a lame-duck until inauguration in August, how does this resolve?

There is no re-election in Colombia.

June 30 NO, because he would be president until August, the only way of December YES would be him becoming dictator

Do it baby

Trump says the Colombian President won’t be selling cocaine to the United States for much longer.

Gustavo Petro to President Trump: "Come get me. I'm waiting for you here."

"Venga por mi, cobarde!"

It’s funny to see people talking about an early exit. Colombia isn’t Venezuela or Peru; our institutions have held up surprisingly well against the polarization

Oh, shut up, you live in a narco state.