This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Democratic ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolved based on the official Democratic nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that Harris-Walz being on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the democratic nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Democratic party (e.g. https://www.democrats.org, etc.).
Walz should be replaced, that's a certaint!
Although there is no controversy, the answer will be revealed soon
Friendly invitation to join the very best US Election live chat on the internet! [link removed]
looks like a spam
o my god
How many people are on the list?
yes
Reminder: early voting in North Carolina starts this week. Pennsylvania ballots, and ballots in Maricopa County in Arizona have been set in stone for a week already. It's simply too late for Harris to make a change with VP. And if Harris drops out, well, you can buy "Democrat Other" to win the Presidency for like 0.3 cents, which is a fair value for No shares here. .
Note that Harris-Walz being on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the democratic nominees will be considered.
yes
Sure, but they aren't going to be dropped this late. This is effectively an assassination market, and you can buy it more cheaply elsewhere.
Ballots are already fixed in Maricopa County and Pennsylvania, according to Nate Silver's substack. [link removed] No buyers can already get this much cheaper elsewhere, such as at Insight Prediction: [link removed]
wait for the swing... and then we will sing... na na naa naa, na na naaa naaa, hey heyyyyyy, bye byeeeeeeee
For real, the rules don’t apply to this one. She gonna get so wasted they’ll have no option. It’s a bet on chaos, nothing else.
They’re selling dollars for 94 cents
Wait for the Kamala drunk narrative to build, they’ll have no option but to replace
They didn't have time to replace it. I think they would choose to cover up if there were any adverse news.
They're selling dollars for 93 cents
Harris and Walz have already embarked on a joint campaign, holding rallies and speaking directly to voters. Unless there are health reasons, it is highly unlikely that Walz will withdraw from the race.
this is a death market I guess
can anyone explain why this isn't 99+
In politics, things always end up in a mess if the power quotas are not clear. And Kamala's victory is clearly not certain.
Look at the kind of people who are buying No. That is the explanation.
Death
quantum randomness still exists
Not that easy. Power is power
Horse cum. Omg! Send it to zero.
free 5%
It’s going to be horrific for Walz. That 5% isn’t free.
yeah i sold when i read the horse cum stuff