This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between July 24, 3:00 PM ET and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of July 24, 2025. This includes the Israeli controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
AND STILL THERE IS NOT EVEN SINGLE REPORT ABPUT HOUTHI STRIKE UNTIL 31 AUGUST!!!
Polymarket: "My source? My source is I made it the fuck up"
kinda craizy imp
i also do not get this any source that J have found says the contrary and they still rulled yes for no reason and you cant even dispute or anything even tho is literally wrong
Based on a comprehensive review of credible reporting from multiple sources (including Reuters, CNN, The Times of Israel, Al Jazeera, and others), the ongoing Houthi-Israel conflict in August 2025 remains an escalation of the broader regional tensions tied to the Gaza war. The Houthis, backed by Iran, have continued their pattern of launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel in “solidarity” with Palestinians, while Israel has responded with targeted airstrikes on Houthi infrastructure and leadership in Yemen. As of today (August 28, 2025), no Houthi strike has resulted in a direct, unintercepted physical impact on Israeli ground territory that meets the Polymarket criteria for a “Yes” resolution. This assessment aligns with the market’s rules, which require a consensus of credible reporting confirming an unintercepted projectile (drone, missile, or air strike) physically impacting land under Israeli control (e.g., the internationally recognized State of Israel, including de facto areas like the Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excluding the West Bank and Gaza Strip), between July 24, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Intercepted cases, including those where debris or fragments land and cause minor issues, are explicitly excluded.
FWIW I concur with this assessment
The house always wins. Whales will manipulate the voting process as they see fit.
“Will Trump sign a rare earths deal with Ukraine before April 1?” No deal. UMA whales voted YES Polymarket refused refunds. Volume: $7M “Will the SEC approve an ETH ETF by May 31, 2024?” 19b-4 approved. S-1 wasn’t. Not a final ETF Still resolved YES. Community furious. Volume: $13M “Will the Titan submarine be found by June 23?” Rule required full vessel. Only debris found Resolved YES anyway. Volume: ~$2M “Was Barron Trump behind the $DJT memecoin?” UMA said NO. Polymarket overrode and resolved YES Historic move. Volume: $1M+ “Is gold missing from Fort Knox?” Audit ongoing. Market deadline June 30 Closed early on March 25. Volume: $3.5M “Will there be a US government shutdown?” Resolved against reality. Volume: $53M “Who wins Venezuela’s election?” UMA declared Gonzalez despite local reports Volume: $6M+
scam...
polyscam
Scam
Scam
What a fuck? Where is proof Yes??? Money is desapeared! Scam
fraud
My Gpt is running every 30min all the infos about such an event And can’t find anything about a Yes
time to leak classified air defense command information😅
it's a scam, I'm from Israel, and all the local information says that no missiles hit the ground but that it's debris from shells that fell
GGs
is it scam....
gg wp
The final review on Uma was a 20minutes ago but the market still isn't resolved. Sounds like even though almost 100% of the Uma holders voted for yes , the market is still waiting till August 31 , indicating they somehow didn't qualify the attack everyone is talking about as enough to resolve to yes. so there is quite a big chance of the market resolving to no , as long as no other Houthi attack happens in the next few days
wait fr?
I'm fairly new to this site, does the verdict of voters/outcome proposal makers matter more than the actual event ? Because it appeared to be that missile was indeed intercepted. But if vote weighs heavily on the opposing view it will result in favor of that no matter what happens ? Just trying to understand the logic.
lol
That is the problem...it should be resolved by NO, and even more so if no attacks occur between now and August 31st. If you look at the different market patterns, the final decision is still pending.
wdym ? other bets that include this scenario or does it show that its still pending on your webpage?
I already withdrew my money, this is a scam.
dogshit jeet-coded site won't even let me sell due to "network error"
Don't be self-centered, I'm eagerly awaiting the result; it's a bet that has yet to be decided.