This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US naval blockade of Iranian ports violates ceasefire: Iran’s army The continued US naval blockade of all Iranian ports constitutes a violation of the ceasefire, said the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, Iran’s top joint military command. “Our armed forces will not allow trade to flow through the Red Sea if the naval blockade continues. We will not allow any exports or imports in the Gulf and the Sea of Oman if the American blockade continues,” its commander said in a statement. The commander added that if the US maintains the naval blockade, “this will be a prelude to violating the ceasefire”.
nothing ever happens....