This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more credible health organizations (e.g. CDC, WHO, etc.) claims an H5N1 bird flu case was transmitted from one human to another human by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from such a credible health organization, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
First Bird Flu Person Died in the US: [link removed]
no way
Just Released: But should human-to-human transmission become commonplace, experts fear a pandemic that could be far more deadly than Covid-19. [link removed]
[link removed]
The spokesperson added that the CDC is also working with multiple state partners to search for evidence "suggestive of person-to-person spread of influenza A(H5N1)."
From my perspective, the probability of Human-to-human cases within the next month is much higher, than 4% and this NBC Article outlines why: [link removed]
anyone know how to get a bird flu sample? also need advice on the best way to infect myself and spread it to another person.
and you must let the media know
*becomes a chicken* "I have to tell the media about this!"
You’re too chicken to do it