GeopoliticsMarkets
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3141%
July 3116%
June 307%
April 30<1%
$14,862,896 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31$2M Vol.41%
8%
July 31$457K Vol.16%
1%
June 30$4M Vol.RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors). Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
No way Iran's gonna give it up after all that.
Trump announces "we will go get" Iran's enriched uranium in the near future. No way they get to an agreement as the criteria says.
have some thoughts that iran will not agree as uranium is important
Does dilution under the supervision of the IAEA within Iran satisfy the requirements?
no, must leave iran
IRAN DENIES AL HADATH REPORT ON EXPORTING ENRICHED URANIUM – TASNIM
they agreed to transfer it to china
Yea please buy more yes
lol i will buy more
what maturity ?
And why you're selling?
enjoyed?
Iran requires the transfer of highly enriched uranium to China - Senior sources to Al-Arabiya
Iran seeks guarantees from China before proceeding with the agreement with the United States - Senior sources to Al-Arabiya
Senior sources of the event: Iran is ready to remove highly enriched uranium from its territory - Al Hadath
"DUBAI, May 24 (Reuters) - A senior Iranian source told Reuters on Sunday that Tehran has not agreed to hand over its highly enriched uranium stockpile. The source said Iran's nuclear issue was not part of the preliminary agreement with the United States."
peachtea not buying anymore at cheaper price?
After 38 days of war and 50 days of ceasefire and intense negotiations and now there is a ‘verbal commitment’ from the regime in Iran. That is very reassuring since they are historically famous for their honesty, decency and truthfulness.
It's war. Words have no meaning, from both sides
Unless you're trading this market. Here words are strong.
Some platforms chase hype. Tenpoly feels more patient than that.
New york post as well: iran agreed! [link removed]
lets trade
leets go
[link removed]
NEW YORK TIMES: WASHINGTON THREATENED TO WALK AWAY AND RESUME MILITARY ACTION IF IRAN DOES NOT AGREE ON THE URANIUM ISSUE.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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