This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between June 24 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran is on the brink of a coup as mounting internal unrest, crippling economic pressure, and the targeted loss of key military leaders have shattered the regime’s stability and created a power vacuum too volatile to ignore.
Official Iranian sources: 5 killed and 13 wounded in Judiciary building in Zahedan. Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility
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It is being constantly attempted. But apparently this doesn't cound... Scam bet.
This is an easy one
Not sure, man. changing a 40-year regime might take some [link removed] it will happen
this one is not about changing it - just a coup attempt. to me it seems to be very probable in one month
nah these will almost always resolve to what the majority position is because whales have too much to lose
Damn I didn't realise how much the oracles can be manipulated?