This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas between January 16, 10:00 AM ET and January 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
This one is very dubious…
Epic scam
Anyone who wants to join me in filing a joint complaint and taking those responsible to court is welcome. I have two lawyers handling the case right now. We are filing a complaint for organized fraud and breach of trust.
I'm in, I think it's impossible but I am with you.
Polymarket scams with the complicity of the UMA. Bunch of shit you steal from people in full view of everyone. Bunch of shit thieves
Polymarket’s Resolution Is Outrageous: well said [link removed]
yes man, I saw people saying that a lot ot times, but I thought this was because of unclear rules. This has not be about unclear rules, they robbed me a lot ot euros, it's a NO, and they decided whatever they wanted.
Polymarket must be honest and admit that NO wins. No ceasefire has been explicitly declared
They’re literally still fighting,
the thing is Israel didn't announced any ceasefire officially, this is a thieft. Helpe me reclaiming this to Polymarket, altought I think is impossible.
I would also like to make a reclaiming
let's help us together, I think it's impossible and this happens in Polymarket usually. But we are gonna try. I can tell you my Discord if you want.
na: The thing is that people decide on the blockchain, and sometimes they decide whatever they want. Like here, on the basis of a new that has nothing to do with it. I had more confidence in this, but no more. Polymarket should have a jury to solve these things, and it doesn't.
It’s UMA the problem bro. It’s okay I lose 44k$ it’s game I’m ok with that. But Polymarket it’s finish for me. Bye bye polyscamket
same for me, I'm abandoning Polymarket.
Im gonna search another platforms like this that don't scam, if there aren't, then I wont either.
How can we reclaim this to Polymarket? because this is literally a thieft and the NO won.
Can someone explain to me why the market is still open when they didn't officially announce the ceasefire, and it has almost passed 2 days from the limit time?
Nobody knows but seems like poly scamming us so bad :D
Ok the ceasefire is approved but that happened Sunday 18th during the night. And there was no explicit announcement from Israel to say that the ceasefire was in effect. The NO wins and you know it!!
[link removed].il/news/article/r1vvhqvwjl , official news from the 17th. Translate to English
sure, this is a scam.
[link removed].il/news/article/r1vvhqvwjl
Israel already agreed to free very heavy prisoners
ZERO DEAL DONE YESTERDAY: Hamas said the mechanism of the release of Israeli hostages it holds in Gaza would depend on the number of Palestinian prisoners Israel would free
This is a hard no… Gaza ceasefire to begin on Sunday morning after Israel approves deal
it's not about the beginning but about the official annouicement, which hasn't neither occur.
Can someone find me the "Announcement" as mentioned in the name of the bet
true, this is theft
Gaza ceasefire to begin on Sunday morning, Qatar says, after Israel approves deal. It comes after Israel's government formally approved the deal late on Friday, clearing the way for the first hostages and Palestinian prisoners to be exchanged.
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'ceasefire expected to go into force on Sunday', ceasefire hasn't happened yet?
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bro its over. this market is only about the announcement
The source used to verify the result does not mention a cease fire or a end to hostilities. They only say they've reached a deal to release hostages. Can someone please show me an official Israeli statement that says they will not conduct military engagements or mentions a ceasefire.
.... im completely fine losing this bet but like... come on that feels very biased to use a teitter post that doesnt mention any of the agreements we were betting on.
im not fine, they robbed me a lot of money.
The most obvious part is that both "Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?" and "Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?" shouldn't resolve at the same time. If you accept that news has occurred that has triggered the first event the same news cannot trigger also the second event. It is a single universal truth and once that is accepted it cannot be accepted again in a different timeline.
both those poles are mutually exclusive, the same event cannot happen in two different days
does the overlap not make any difference
If the Full Israeli Cabinet meet tomorrow and Reject the Ceasefire, will this market resolve to a No?
Yes... but noone belives that is happening
[link removed]
Approved early morning Saturday. 17 is done. It’s a no