This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between May 28 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Here we go 2025
Iran Promises It Won’t Respond to Proportionate Hit: [link removed]
Israel gave them a warning after their first mass attack, Iran has then sent 200 ballistic rockets against them. Israel has the problem that anything they do that does not literally crush Iran, will just make them attack again randomly. Iran is not different to Hamas or Hezbollah in that regard. So Israel will be tempted to destroy the country to put a longer term end to it.
[link removed]
Nothing ever happens
It did
The odds are 50%, I don’t see why should people buy a Yes, it’s a hell No
few whales are moving the price, thats it fren...
"no" bro you're acoustic lmao
[link removed]
From the alleged leak: "IDF continued key munitions preperations and covert UAV activity on 16 October almost certainly for a strike on Iran. We cannot definitively predict the scale and scope of a strike on Iran, and such a strike can occur with no further GEOINT warning."
[link removed]
Велика ймовірність, що удар Ізраїлю буде після виборів в США
dyakuyu za pidtrimku
nobody speaks this abortion of a language except at gunpoint lol
nothing ever happens.
[link removed]
[link removed]
I am certain Israel won't risk an all out war since no one will win
same thinking
Well they don't need a war, they could still hit something small as a message.
Where can I read what the dispute is about?
You can view the vote discussion on UMA's discord probably (also can be traced through their website if you find the past vote).
Even if YES is priced at 99 you should buy
you have no money on the line
At this rate not sure if Israel will have a good reason to retaliate, if Iran just shot some rockets and was done with it.
They responded to less in April
They already promised to retaliate.
U.S. Officials state that Israel will “Absolutely Retaliate” against Iran.
why can't I propose something???
You can create questions for markets on the discord but if you're talking about disputes then you need to put in like 750 USDC (eth) as a bond for your resolution proposal first
Vahid Khadhab, host of the live program "Midan" on "Asr" Internet TV, said: "In Iran itself, in the last one month, Israel has operated, but it has not been reported." Didn't this operation have martyrs?"
According to some analysts, the broadcaster's reference to "Israel's recent operations in Iran" is explosions in one of the IRGC's military industrial facilities in Isfahan on the 8th of Shahrivar, after which it was announced that Lt. Col. Mukhtar Morshidi and Capt. Mojtaba Nazari were involved in a "leak" "Gas" have exploded.
However, due to the sound of continuous explosions and shooting, some social media users in that area considered this incident to be a military operation.
Source: [link removed] [link removed]
[link removed]
The IRGC's statement on Saturday came after Britain's Daily Telegraph said Haniyeh was killed by bombs planted in his room by agents of Israel's Mossad intelligence agency
Resolve yes pls :)
resolved
Whales already tried to resolve the market without success. "No" is still very underpriced considering that and other factors like the missing details from the rules, which will be key. I personally don't see a world where this market resolves to "Yes".
yeah that's why you sold No, bro
lmao