This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between March 17, 10:00 PM ET, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Well done guys!
The Ayatollah condemns any military aggression by the Zionist regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran, particularly on the holy day of Purim. Such an attack would provoke the absolute destruction of the illegitimate Zionist state and its imperial ally, the Great Satan, the United States. The Islamic Republic remains resolute in defending its sovereignty, and any aggression will be met with a powerful and uncompromising response. While the Ayatollah condemns the existence of betting markets, he acknowledges their role in the current circumstances. The actions of those involved, however misguided, will contribute to strengthening the defense of the Islamic Republic in these critical times. May Allah grant us victory and protection.