This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between May 4, and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Its cool to know we can go to polymarket for source of truth to know everything in advance haha
Fake news?
Probably Israel, but like keep my shares just incase its USA or it doesnt get confirmed by Israel. Then it would be No and its not worth seeling at 1cent anyway. [link removed]
its in his name!
dont trust scamwick!
So these people aren't just some folks who saw a couple planes taking off, these are definitely real insiders right? Since they were betting at 96c at a market that expires on friday. And there is more than one insider since they were doing it in such a hurried way and overbidding each other and this is the second time it happened....
absolutely not lol, he bought 99% of his volume at the end after the news came out. Those two accounts held 100k shares in total which was like 98% of all the Yes shares volume and they were buying at 96c at the same time
It's possible, but media like OSINTdefender and al jazeera are reporting that Israel was involved. More will probably come out
GG 0xd46 aka Ben Gvir, I hope you don't get caught betting with classified documents.
WHYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY
GG to the pilot relative
Explosions in Hodeidah - WP Shlomo Insiderberg
In the past israel always retaliated within 36 hours from houthi attack. If nothing happens in the next 12/20h i think it will not happen before friday.
Free money, it will take a while for them to do so bc of us striking in Yemen, and there needs to be communication between us and isreal
why yall started to buy yes?
what is this man doing lmaoooooooo
whats up
Crazy stuff
Next time don't belive some "insiders"
Thank you for the free money
really? the military action will be start in any time in next four days
Oh really? Buy yes shares then
Well it was fake news it seems buying no now
Leaked yes
But how can you say that? I mean what sources other than weird buying activity is out there to know that there are planes already in the Air?
I think 0xd46 spoke to Netanyahu this morning
what a day lol
Mossad doesn't investigate such things, and no leak was made because no attacked been planned today nor approved by the Israeli cabinet
Attack*
yes, very much so :)
Why did you switch side ?
yes I saw you selling on the other one afterwards I suspected it was that. I couldn't find anything more either, he's probably basing his analysis on the fact that over the last 4/5 Israeli retaliations the average delay was 1.5 days.