This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on any Gulf state's soil or any Gulf state's official embassy or consulate between September 9, 2 PM ET, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact a Gulf state's ground territory, embassy, or consulate. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a Gulf state's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Come on guys. No chance this happens.
But why would they attack any of those states... oh ...
Israel just bombed lebanon , so market should resolve to Yes
ahh the great GULF state of lebanon. I know you are american because of that level of geography ignorance
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the netanyahu and trump conference will surely blow up the price
Israel already striked Hamas within Qatar, that is certainly a YES
This market was made recently after that , so it doesn’t include
Doha is not a Gulf State.
🤣🤣🤣
you must be from the US
Doha is the capital city of Qatar, which is in fact a gulf state
Not true. You're looking at some medieval eurotrash maps and they're wrong.
Lol, what?
Doha is attacked !
propose!