This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the West Bank's soil between November 27, 2025, 3:00 AM IST and the listed date 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the Israeli military that impact the West Bank's ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the West Bank counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the West Bank's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Israeli military will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements, multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
They should add a Jan 31st
Can we get clarification about helicopter fire? It’s not coerced specifically in Y or N condition, and I think it’s more similar to air bombs and drone strikes Thant to artillery and fpv…
Actions such as ... ATGM strikes ... will not qualify.
i am officially in boys, it aint happening
If it happened - It would have resolved as Yes already btw
The West Bank is colonized by Israelis. There are virtually no areas without the presence of Israelis. Remote strikes are less likely vs. Gaza as the risk of harming Jewish people is significantly higher.
You know this market had to renew to Nov 27 because of an air strike on the West Bank just two days ago, right? Two days after the previous one..
3 Jews were killed in that strike.
Video displays the execution from point-blank of 2 surrendering Palestinians by IDF soldiers, and dumping their bodies during a raid in the Aest Bank’s city of Jenin.
IDF Spokesperson: Currently, as part of Operation Five Stones to thwart terrorism in northern Samaria, the Judea and Samaria Border Guard, under the command of the Menashe Brigade, is operating in the city of Jenin. At the same time, in another activity as part of the operation, Air Force combat helicopters are providing air support to the Commando Formation forces in the field.