This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between July 13, 12:00 PM ET and July 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
When is the bet closing by the way
Should resolve 11:59pm ET or if a strike hits
Cash money money
lol you sold
It will take longer than the 7.5 hours left in the market for Israel to respond, I think the July market YES is currently undervalued though
Flights halted... could this mean👀[link removed]
And you don't think they'll respond? [link removed]
i mean, yemen attacked israel twice this week. First on the16th and now today. Typically in past strikes against ymen, israel has retaliated overnight and in the early morning hours - Which is in their time zone. So realistically, later tonight (our time), they could respond
Nah yemen is shrimp they won’t waste the effort they want to be noticed so bad
We will see
intercepted
This hitting
Oh this could be crazy money...
😴👀
Another rocket intercepted, its coming guys, 8:30 hours left
no
I misread the date again. I thought by Friday means before Friday. Hope they strike now, so I can lose because of my stupidity
njnbfknvn
The epitome of peace
40 hours left, chill
30h too much I'd say
Problem is there isn't much more to gain by waiting on YES unless you have tonnes of money in, so people with less will sell
It was a blast guys! Thanks beep boop for selling at 5 cents and giving me great profit, as promised, I'll tip 5$ to okiii please respond to this and I'll tip you
You're a big G bro sending the 5$ you made the market even more fun for me
my word is my bond and also you deserved it. I should propably tip beep boop to buy a geography book to tell the difference between the syrian and the yemeni flag LOL
cheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeep
They may even be free by friday
Imagine if they conduct strike this evening?
I hope everyone have learned to point a country on a map before making a bet about it.
Nothing will ever stop me from betting on something I know little to nothing about!