June 30$137K Vol.On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Israeli military says that it has carried out a strike in Gaza targeting Ezzedine Al-Haddad, who it described as chief of the armed wing of Hamas. [link removed]
hahaha its cancelled every day, what a stupid world we live in now. Like literally there is fight in gaza every day
hamas could strike israel at its most weakest
if hazbollah joined hamas is likely, if hamas skips this then it's over for their fight, there would be no more allies nearby
Bueno eso es cierto, pero un ataque, no vale para que esto se resuelva como si , tienen que declarar oficialmente que se terminó la tregua
it's just matter of a few weeks. The cease fire is unsustainable [link removed]
was a good one
timesofisrael .com/liveblog_entry/report-us-told-netanyahu-strike-on-hamas-general-violated-ceasefire-white-house-frustrated-with-pm/ Israel broke it
They violate it every day, but it doesn't count unless both participants say it does. And they won't.
I wonder if the "ceasefire" would "hold" if Hamas killed senior israeli commander?
Israeli officials 'optimistic' after strike targeting Hamas chief in Gaza
It's obvious that both sides don't care about this ceasefire. Every week, Israel conducts airstrikes and wipes out Hamas terrorists, but the cuckolds who decide the outcome of this thread only care about what Trump says. This is the last time I'll bet on this scam.
So the IDF shooting those 2 kids somehow wasn't breaking ceasefire?
it's a fiery but mostly peaceful ceasefire
Is ceasefire happend this year?
everyone please report the obvious bots
A particularly blatant and gross violation of the ceasefire agreement: An armed terrorist crossed the Yellow Line, cynically using and exploiting the humanitarian corridor through which humanitarian aid enters the southern Gaza Strip. The terrorist fired at IDF forces deployed in the southern Gaza Strip, without causing any casualties. Immediately after identification, the Southern Brigade forces shot and killed the terrorist. This is a blatant violation of the ceasefire agreement. In response, the IDF, led by the Southern Command, under the direction of the Military Intelligence and Shin Bet, and through the Air Force, began attacking targets of the Hamas terrorist organization throughout the Gaza Strip.
mimimi
Absolutely. There will never be a real ceasefire with Hamas. Israel should just finish them off for good.
turned $600 into $2.8k in 3 weeks. polymarket is free money when you have the right tools. period.
What a wild day!
Who voted against? Guesses? Anyone?
Who is the 3rd?
Argentine
November 20, 2025 - UN Resolution against torture Only 3 countries voted against
saw this market 30 seconds after launch. bet $250. already 3x. early bird gets the worm fr
whoever liked this, this person is a bot. report them
Polytools also show several sources quoting Hamas end of ceasefire
KAN: Israel estimates: Gaza ceasefire will not collapse Despite the recent series of incidents in Gaza that have called the agreement into question, Israel expects the ceasefire to be maintained. Hamas is not pulling out all the stops - and is demanding that mediators intervene to force Israel to abide by the agreement.
NYPost: Hamas reportedly says it’s pulling out of Gaza cease-fire over alleged Israeli violations
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