This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between August 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on December 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Heh
Let's hope for the best
Lt. Aldo Raine : Y'know... Utivich 'n myself heard that deal you made with the brass. "End the war tonight"?... I'd make that deal. How 'bout you Utivich, you make that deal?
If bro has this much money laying around to gamble I guess hes a rich dude who doesnt care bruh. These numbers are unreal in comparision with my small 80 bucks…
kamala harris can still win if kamala harris has the courage
[link removed]
I would say “copium” but I feel bad for the 53k that you’ve put :/
We're gonna win
Hahahah I’m sure that’s gonna be the final approval
If you follow up on “Aljazeera” news and see the videos from the battlefield in Gaza; showing how gruesome this whole month (both sides, and how they’re adapting and changing tactics) has been, peace is far-fetched anytime soon. Let alone in 2024. You have to keep up with the battlefield and the actual intentions behind everything. I was 99% sure of this bet, i would put more money into it but i am only a student lol. Ive been reading the comments here for the past 2 months, i can assure you that so many people dont understand our region (the middle east), that’s why this poll will make money for the “no” buyers. It was obvious from the beggining that it will be a long war.
And that’s exactly what I’ve been saying too.. unfortunately I have no money to risk lol
No news is good news!
For the no holders it is
Explain logic?
L YES COPIUM
EZ W
I feel like given the high risk of breakdowns, the betting market’s caution is understandable but likely overly pessimistic. A more balanced probability might lie closer to 30-40%.
As you can see, I’m desperate to believe…
if you notice patterns, you can use this knowledge to your advantage. and i did and i will win
very cool
very cool for me yes. i'm saddened to see you did not notice however.
Its gonnabe fun. 3,2,1...
Copium time!
ouch
One point of disagreement, can be solved in a minute, or never.
still have time to sell the yes ..
Gaza ceasefire talks 90% complete, Palestinian official tells
thats 2 weeks ago..
Bro you are in your second trimester you’re so late
[link removed] Might be of interest to you. I don't believe a deal will be reached this year
Why don't the government & military of Israel, as part of an attempt to seal the first phase of a ceasefire/hostage deal in Gaza, announce a 3-day temporary bombardment/fighting pause that allows Hamas to generate a list of living hostages? This issue has been sabotaging ongoing negotiations, with Hamas claiming it doesn't know who the still-living hostages are. While I'm unsympathetic to the terror group's position, it is a fact that they've lost most of their command-and-control structures such that they’ve been reduced to disparate cells operating throughout the Gaza Strip, including those holding hostages. Take away their excuses and give them a chance to produce the necessary list of living hostages to get them freed back to their loved ones; a win-win for all: civilians in Gaza who desperately need a reprieve and access to aid and hostage families who are desperate to see negotiations proceed and not be stalled or sabotaged.
You just copy what this guy says and claim as your own? [link removed]
MEP is a fraud and dealhunter is his alt account he uses to talk to himself
He just accidentally answered “no” on dealhunter 😂
@MEP you’ve embarrassed yourself mightily. Avoid the comments and work on that P&L. I haven’t seen anyone slip faster than you since my sweet lady Kamala took a ride down my pole
Middle East princess you’ve embarrassed yourself and your P&L. Avoid the comments and work on the PL for now. Last time I saw a slide like you was Kamala down the stripper pole
Slide me that dealer number.. you on some good shit
Ur a joke and an embarrassment MEP. Much like my old lover Kamala
Middle East lady ur worse than Kamala. A total embarrassment
MEP no one’s buying what ur selling. Just like my former bottom beach Kamala
MEP and Kamala are my biggest losers 😘
Mep great call !
Nice MEP. Nice fail
mmouse is giving us free money for Christmas thank you bro!
Rumor has it that Israel has agreed to Mohammad Sinwar’s conditions, and the deal is finalized, pending final approval by the Israeli cabinet
but that's probably fake made by yes holders
rumour where?
"gullible"
source : trust me bro im being fr fr no cap
Does Mmouse know something we don’t?
yes
You may aswell go buy $niggadolph coin if you bought yes shares just because some random bought yes shares...
MMousse knows something
Nope.
He just wants to giveaway money to no